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Ali Mansourian

Professor

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Impacts of the 2019–2020 Black Summer Drought on Eastern Australian Forests

Författare

  • Nuwanthi Arampola
  • Belinda Medlyn
  • Samuel Hislop
  • Brendan Choat
  • Stefan Olin
  • Ali Mansourian
  • Pengxiang Zhao
  • Benjamin Smith

Summary, in English

Droughts present a significant global challenge, particularly to forest ecosystems in regions such as eastern New South Wales, Australia, which is known for its dry climate and frequent, intense droughts. Recent studies have indicated a notable increase in tree mortality and canopy browning across this area, especially during the recent extreme drought period culminating in the Black Summer of 2019–2020. Our study investigates the impacts of drought on eucalypt forests by leveraging remote sensing and field observation data to detect and analyse vegetation health and stress indicators. Utilising data from Sentinel-2, alongside historical Landsat observations, we applied multiple spectral vegetation indices, namely the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Moisture Index (NDMI), Normalized Burn Ratio (NBR), and Tasseled Cap Transformation, to assess the extent of drought impacts. We found NBR to show the most consistent agreement with ground-based observations of drought-related tree mortality. Additionally, by integrating ground-based data from the “Dead Tree Detective” citizen science project, we were able to validate the remote sensing outcomes with a 90.22% consistency, providing confirmation of the extensive spatial distribution and severity of the inferred impacts. Our findings reveal that 13.16% of eucalypt forests and woodlands across eastern New South Wales experienced severe stress associated with drought during the 2019–2020 Black Summer drought. This study demonstrates the utility of satellite-derived drought indicators in monitoring forest health and highlights the necessity for continuous monitoring and research to understand the factors that trigger tree vitality loss.

Avdelning/ar

  • Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap
  • BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate
  • MERGE: ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system
  • LU profilområde: Naturbaserade framtidslösningar
  • Centrum för geografiska informationssystem (GIS-centrum)
  • MECW: The Middle East in the Contemporary World

Publiceringsår

2025-03

Språk

Engelska

Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie

Remote Sensing

Volym

17

Avvikelse

5

Dokumenttyp

Artikel i tidskrift

Förlag

MDPI AG

Ämne

  • Earth and Related Environmental Sciences

Nyckelord

  • Drought
  • Bioregions
  • Canopy Health Score
  • Tree browning
  • Eucalypt forests and woodlands
  • Mortality
  • Remote sensing
  • Climate Change

Aktiv

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt

  • ISSN: 2072-4292